Saturday 19 June 2010

Be a stock picker: Buy GREAT companies and hold for the long term until their fundamentals change

Chart forPETRONAS DAGANGAN BHD (5681.KL)

Stock Performance Chart for Petronas Dagangan Berhad

Chart forPUBLIC BANK BHD (1295.KL)

Stock Performance Chart for Public Bank Berhad

Chart forLPI CAPITAL BHD (8621.KL)

Stock Performance Chart for LPI Capital Berhad

Chart forDUTCH LADY MILK INDUSTRIES BHD (3026.KL)

Stock Performance Chart for Dutch Lady Milk Industries Berhad


Chart forNESTLE (M) BHD (4707.KL)

Stock Performance Chart for Nestle (Malaysia) Berhad

Chart forGUINNESS ANCHOR BHD (3255.KL)

Stock Performance Chart for Guinness Anchor Berhad

Chart forPPB GROUP BHD (4065.KL)

Stock Performance Chart for PPB Group Berhad


All the above are GREAT companies.

NEVER buy these GREAT companies at HIGH prices.

You can often buy them at FAIR prices.

On certain occasions, you have the chance to buy them at slightly BARGAIN prices.

Rarely, for example during the recent 2008 Crash, you had the chance to buy them at GREAT prices.

It is better to buy a GREAT company at a FAIR price than to buy a FAIR company at a GREAT price.

It is safe to hold these stocks for the long term since these companies have competitive advantages, selling only when their fundamentals change.

The present prices of these stocks are near or above their previous high prices.

Those who bought regularly into these stocks would have capital gains, through dollar-cost averaging.


Further comments:

  1. Warren, on the other hand, after starting his career with Graham, discovered the tremendous wealth-creating economics of a company that possessed a long-term competitive advantage over its competitors.  
  2. Warren realized that the longer you held one of these fantastic businesses, the richer it made you.  
  3. While Graham would have argued that these super businesses  were all overpriced, Warren realized that he didn't have to wait for the stock market to serve up a bargain price, that even if he paid a fair price, he could still get superrich off of those businesses.  
  4. In the process of discovering the advantages of owning a business with a long-term competitive advantage, Warren developed a unique set of analytical tools to help identify these special kinds of businesses.  
  5. Though rooted in the old school Grahamian language, his new way of looking at things enabled him to determine whether the company could survive its current problems.  
  6. Warren's way also told him whether or not the company in question possessed a long-term competitive advantage that would make him superrich over the long run.  
  7. By learning or copying Warren, you can make the quantum leap that Warren made by enabling you to go beyond the old school Grahamian valuation models and discover, as Warren did, the phenomenal long-term wealth-creating power of a company that possesses a durable competitive advantage over its competitors.
  8. In the process you'll free yourself from the costly manipulations of Wall Street and gain the opportunity to join the growing ranks of intelligent investors the world over who are becoming tremendously wealthy following in the footsteps of this legendary and masterful investor.


Related:

The Evolution of Warren Buffett

Learning and Understanding the Evolution of Warren Buffett
Li Lu sharing his Value Investing Strategies (Video)
The Three Gs of Buffett: Great, Good and Gruesome


The GREAT company has long-term competitive advantage in a stable industry.  This company:



  • takes a one time investment capital and 
  • pays you a very attractive return (dividend + capital appreciation), 
  • which will continue to increase as years pass by;

Here are the golden words of Buffett on the GREAT businesses to own:

1.  On 'Great' businesses, Buffett says, "Long-term competitive advantage in a stable industry is what we seek in a business.


  • If that comes with rapid organic growth, great. 
  • But even without organic growth, such a business is rewarding. 
  • We will simply take the lush earnings of the business and use them to buy similar businesses elsewhere. 
  • There's no rule that you have to invest money where you've earned it. 
  • Indeed, it's often a mistake to do so: Truly great businesses, earning huge returns on tangible assets, can't for any extended period reinvest a large portion of their earnings internally at high rates of return."

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

What is considered "fair price"? Could you pls comment on maybulk current valuation? Thank you.